Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Vicious Cycle in Property Market

Recently months, Singapore property market had witness a slow down in transaction volume. Although prices have remained somewhat stable, most experts in the sector have predicted that property prices are set to fall. They have indicated that property prices will fall between 10% to 15% before the end of the year.


These experts are not only from the property sector, even financial experts from Banks are singing to the same tune. They strongly recommend buyers to withhold their purchases if they can until the price drop.


From the way I see things, its going into a self fulfilling vicious cycle. Basically, prices are not moving at the moment. By encouraging buyers to hold back, demand is essentially cut. This leads to more people staying in the side line, as they do not want to buy a property that will lose value straightaway. This in turn further cuts the demand for property and a vicious cycle ensures. This is exactly the opposite of what happens in a bull market.


As no one really knows when the market will bottom, so I think the best way to approach this issue is to buy when you have a real need for it. When you are living in the property that you purchase, near term price fluctuation will be less meaningful, as you are in no hurry to sell anyway. And over the long term, I still believe that Singapore's Property market will remain strong, as long as our economy is doing well, as land is definitely a scarce product here.



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